Análisis de impactos del proyecto Agroseguro, con subsidio del Estado, dirigido a los pequeños y medianos productores, en el periodo 2009-2013, y sus repercusiones en el cultivo de los productos cubiertos por el proyecto

Abstract

This paper analyzes the situation of Ecuadorian Agro with the implementation of agricultural insurance in the period 2009-2013; however, the econometrics analysis and the modeling use data from 2010 because the information is available in this period. This analysis considered three aspects: the disasters reported to display the most susceptible provinces by methodology of conglomerates (Clústers); by other side the volume of credit, to show the variables that encourage the increased credit volume through Ordinary Least Squares. Finally, the methodology Time Series to analyze the evolution of insured hectares of products that have greater participation in the results of the insurance. Furthermore, the adequacy of the products covered by agriculture insurance from the point of view of imports, basic food basket, agricultural census of 2000 and the results of the AgroSeguro.