Afectación del ingreso per cápita en las provincias de Esmeraldas y Manabí ocasionada por el terremoto 2016

Abstract

The National Secretariat for Planning and Development (Senplades) quantified and estimated the reconstruction costs of the affected areas. In this way, using information before and after the earthquake, from the affected areas, this research analyzes the impact on income per capita of people from Esmeraldas and Manabí. Thus, by means of a Logit model, of socioeconomic factors that influence the probability of being affected by an earthquake and receiving aid facing to a natural disaster is analyzed. Then, a Propensity Score Matching (PSM) is applied to determine the appropriate control group in order to finally apply a Difference in Differences model (DID). Result evaluation of income per capita of population affected by the earthquake shows no significant effects. And, positive effects of aid in the highest quintiles of the population even though the most vulnerable people is in the lowest quintiles.