Evaluación del aporte energético de pequeñas centrales fotovoltaicas.

Abstract

This work implements a model that allows estimating the expected energy value of a photovoltaic power plant by applying the Monte Carlo Simulation method, programmed in Python software. The National Polytechnic School, through its Renewable Energy Laboratory, located in the School of Mechanics, has provided the database with the necessary and indispensable specifications for the analysis. The analysis of probability distributions for the representation of the available historical data allowed to establish the distribution that best fits and thus adequately determine the prediction of electric power delivered by a photovoltaic generation plant whose design corresponds to the existing parking space between the faculties of Mechanical Engineering and Electrical and Electronic Engineering of the National Polytechnic School. By means of a Monte Carlo Simulation analysis in which use the failure and repair rates of each element that conforms the electrical system of connection of the mentioned photovoltaic power plant with the electrical distribution network were used the expected value of electrical energy delivered to the network was estimated. This estimated value of energy represents an improvement in relation to the estimates made in the design process of the power plant exhibited in previous degree projects.