Estudio prospectivo del sector transporte de Ecuador y su incidencia en la matriz energética en el periodo 2017 - 2040

Abstract

A prospective study of the transport sector of Ecuador has been developed, and its incidence on the energy matrix in the period 2017 - 2040, so as to evaluate various scenarios that allow the adequate use of the energy resources available in the country, In addition, to reduce the emission of gases greenhouse effect in the transport sector and reduce imports of fossil fuels. The relationships between the different elements that structure the energy matrix of the transport sector and its effect on the economy, environment and society were analyzed. For this, different scenarios were proposed, that served to evaluate the transport sector. Pilot projects were proposed in the group of rental vehicles for the replacement of traditional vehicles with internal combustion by electric vehicles, taking advantage of the installed capacity of the country's hydroelectric projects. The potential offered by the partial substitution of fossil fuels for biofuels, such as the ecopaís® gasoline, is also evaluated. Projecting scenarios of increasing the percentage of bioethanol from 5% to 10% in the medium term and the introduction of biodiesel for the group of cargo vehicles. To conclude, the scenario that presents the greatest benefit to the fossil fuel economy is the introduction of electric vehicle technology.